The Israeli airstrikes on Iran on 13/6/2025, have shaken Muscat’s highest political circles, triggering a wave of internal reassessment about the reliability of U.S. commitments and the future of Omani mediation efforts in the region.
The following note outlines key insights in this regard, including:
- Muscat’s reaction to the Israeli strikes and internal consensus on U.S. President Donald Trump’s role
- Oman’s diplomatic containment strategy, particularly concerning the Strait of Hormuz
- Perceived erosion of Iranian trust in Omani mediation and broader implications
- Measures taken by the Royal Navy of Oman (RNO) following reports about Israeli submarines heading towards the Gulf waters
The note also offers perspectives on Oman’s current engagement with global powers, including efforts by Omani Minister of Foreign Affairs Sayyid Badr Bin Hamad Bin Hamood Al-Busaidi to prevent further escalation.