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Thursday, July 24, 2025

Saudi MBS weighs strategic export shift as U.S. leverages tariffs on Russianote

U.S. President Donald Trump is threatening 100% secondary tariffs on countries importing Russian crude, unless Moscow agrees to a peace deal within 50 days.

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman (MBS) views the ultimatum as an opportunity to disrupt Russia-Asia hydrocarbon ties and position Saudi crude as the preferred alternative.

This note explores MBS views on U.S. tariffs, including:

- MBS’ assessment of U.S. tariffs as a tool for market realignment

- Tariff implications on China and India

- Anticipated Russian response and discount strategy

- Aramco plans for oil volume increase and spot deals

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