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Thursday, August 14, 2025

Turkiye's fallback strategy as it rejects EU gas-origin tracking proposalnote

The European Union (EU) aims to phase out Russian gas imports by 2027 while tightening gas-origin tracking, with Turkiye emerging as a critical transit hub.

Ankara is crafting a flexible, sovereignty-preserving framework to keep its gas hub open to Europe while limiting legal exposure.

This note explores Turkiye’s gas hub strategy, including:

- Turkish export strategy into the EU

- Turkiye’s counter offer

- Turkiye’s fallback strategy

- Turkish ambitions and non-Russian supply diversification

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