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Thursday, May 21, 2026

UAE: Dealing with a vengeful Irannote

As U.S. President Donald Trump declared victory several times on Iran, the Emirati leadership is concerned that history would repeat itself as it did in Iraq and Afghanistan: The U.S. declared victory and moved out. At the same time, the region is left to deal with a vengeful actor that will systematically rebuild its capabilities and influence.

The following note sheds light on:

- Emirati concerns over a post-war U.S. disengagement strategy,

- Abu Dhabi’s dual-track approach toward Iran, and

- The Internal discussion between the Emirati leadership over how to manage the Iranian threat.

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