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Mojtaba Khamenei's election, Zolqadr's SNSC appointment, IRGC war expectations and Tehran's recalibrated trust in Russia and China.
Iran’s 88-member Assembly of Experts elected Mojtaba Khamenei as the Islamic Republic’s Supreme Leader on 8/3/2026. Mojtaba succeeds his late father, Ali, who was killed by a joint U.S.-Israeli strike on 28/2/2026.Unlock the following In-Depth report...
The death of Ali Khamenei on day one of the war and the appointment of his wounded son Mojtaba as Supreme Leader has triggered the most profound leadership transition in the Islamic Republic's history, and Mojtaba is now consolidating a wartime command around himself. This intelligence cluster tracks the 88-member Assembly of Experts vote, the replacement of SNSC Secretary Mohammad Baqer Zolqadr by Mohsen Rezaee to tighten the Supreme Leader's oversight of war-and-peace decisions, IRGC Commander-in-Chief Ahmad Vahidi's return to prominence, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf's role as US negotiator in Islamabad and Special Envoy for China Affairs, President Masoud Pezeshkian's place in the emerging landscape, the IRGC's rules of engagement under the Hormuz closure and US blockade, Iran's preparations for prolonged confrontation, Saudi assessments of Iran's post-war status, and Tehran's recalibrated trust in Russia and China.
Built for Iran-watchers, sanctions desks, US policy advisors and Gulf foreign-ministry analysts.
IRGC Commander-in-Chief Ahmad Vahidi said that the appointment of Mohsen Rezaee as Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) strengthens the Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s oversight...
The recovery in UAE–Iran trade is unfolding alongside parallel political and security channels through which Tehran has made security and maritime commitments.Abu Dhabi intends to preserve these chann...
The Trump administration has largely linked the future of U.S. ties with Iraq to Prime Minister Al-Zaidi's ability to curb the operational independence of Iran-backed Shiite factions, seeking to ensur...
IRGC commander Ahmad Vahidi made a public appearance at the late Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s funeral in Tehran on 2/7/2026, after months of total absence from the public eye.Unlock...
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi led a diplomatic delegation to Baghdad on 28/06/2026, holding high-level talks with Iraqi Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein and other senior Iraqi officials.During ...
The U.S.-Israeli war on Iran and the subsequent Iranian attacks on the GCC states have had negative effects on the relationships between Tehran and these states, especially Saudi Arabia. However, Tehr...
In a major diplomatic development, Kuwait and Iran held their first publicly acknowledged contact since the war, as Kuwaiti Minister of Foreign Affairs Sheikh Jarrah Jaber Al-Ahmad Al Sabah received a...
The U.S. and Iran signed a 14-point Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on 17/06/2026 to halt their military conflict and establish a framework for peace.The Strait of Hormuz is an important aspect in t...
Following the U.S.-Iran war's end via a memorandum of understanding (MoU) and the start of a 60-day settlement period, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman (MBS) is assessing Iran's post-war standin...
Saudi Arabia has been leading a private peace track with Iran, largely focused on a non-aggression agreement based on the 1975 Helsinki Accords framework.Unlock the following in-depth report to explor...
Qatar had previously decided to remain out of a direct mediation role between Iran and the U.S. favoring the support of Pakistani diplomatic efforts, until late April 2026.Unlock the following note to...
Recent Qatar-Iran contacts signal active crisis-management channels as regional tensions rise, US-Iran talks advance, and Strait of Hormuz risks intensify.Doha is engaging Tehran as both mediator and ...
Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei said on 20/05/2026 that Iran is engaged in continuous consultations with Oman to establish a joint Hormuz management mechanism.Unlock the following not...
The newly-formed Iraqi government, led by Prime Minister Ali Al-Zaidi, received messages from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and the U.S. regarding the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)-backed militias...
Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf led the Iranian delegation to the Pakistani capital, Islamabad to hold talks with the U.S. in April 2026. Afterward, he was appointed Iran’s Special Envoy f...
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) warned on 9/5/2026 that any attack on Iranian commercial ships or oil tankers would result in a major retaliatory strike against U.S. targets in the Middle...
U.S. President Donald Trump visited China (13-14-15/5/2026), during which he met with his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping. During their meetings, Trump and Xi discussed Iran and the situation in the S...
As U.S. President Donald Trump declared victory several times on Iran, the Emirati leadership is concerned that history would repeat itself as it did in Iraq and Afghanistan: The U.S. declared victory...
Iran launched the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA) on 05/05/2026, a new government body to regulate transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran also established a framework of updated rules gover...
Oman hosted discussions with Iranian officials on political and legal issues on 12/05/2026, related to the Strait of Hormuz, as well as matters connected to the U.S.-Iran negotiations and the ongoing ...
Iranian Minister of Foreign Affairs Abbas Araghchi met his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi in Beijing on 6/5/2026.The visit came a week before U.S. President Donald Trump is due to meet Chinese President ...
Iranian Minister of Foreign Affairs Abbas Araghchi arrived in Oman on 25/04/2026 and met with Sultan Haitham and Minister of Foreign Affairs Sayyid Badr Al-Busaidi.Unlock the following note to explore...
Saudi Arabia is evaluating an anticipated post-conflict status of Iran following its war with the U.S. and Israel.Unlock the full note, to explore the Kingdom’s assessment in this regard, favored solu...
As the joint U.S.-Israeli war against Iran continues, Tehran appointed Mohammad Baqer Zolqadr as Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council (SNSC), to succeed Ali Larijani, who was killed by a...
Iran is said to be ready for a possible showdown with the U.S.The note provides an overview of Iran’s military preparations across land, naval, and aerial theaters, as well as expectations of what the...
Iran anticipates renewed Israeli strikes and has been preparing militarily and diplomatically, coordinating with Russia and China for international support. However, the Iranian trust in the Russians ...