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Inside how Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Oman and Egypt are managing the 2026 US-Iran war, from defensive readiness to ceasefire mediation.
Following the U.S.-Iran war's end via a memorandum of understanding (MoU) and the start of a 60-day settlement period, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman (MBS) is assessing Iran's post-war standing. Unlock the following note to explore:- MBS...
The 2026 US-Iran war, launched on 28 February when joint US-Israeli strikes hit Iranian nuclear and ballistic missile infrastructure and killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, was paused by a 17 June memorandum of understanding and a 60-day settlement window, but the truce is now fraying: Iranian strikes on Oman's Musandam and Al Wusta governorates and a partial ceasefire collapse have pushed Qatar, Turkey and Oman to scramble to restore it. This intelligence hub tracks how Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Oman and Egypt are managing the volatile transition between war, settlement and renewed escalation: the Tamim-Trump and KBS-Trump exchanges on Iran's regional activity, MBS's assessment of a post-war Iran and the future of GCC-Iran relations, Saudi Arabia's non-aggression pact track with Tehran, the UAE Crown Prince's expanded crisis role and UAE-Iran security understandings, Oman's mediating position, Qatar's return to US-Iran mediation, and Iran's leadership transition under Mojtaba Khamenei.
Coverage spans MBS-Trump dynamics, GCC coordination, Iranian retaliation risk, and Riyadh's recalibration of the China-brokered Beijing agreement. Essential reading for defense officials, energy strategists, sovereign wealth analysts and Middle East risk advisors.
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman (MBS) and his brother, Minister of Defense Prince Khaled (KBS), are monitoring the two diverging approaches to dealing with Iran between Vice President J.D. Vanc...
UAE President Sheikh Mohammad Bin Zayed (MBZ) assesses that the current cycle of brief pauses and renewed U.S. strikes allows Iran to adapt without producing a decisive military or political outcome.U...
The Iranian attacks on Kuwait have exposed differences within the Al Sabah family over how to respond to Iran.Emir Meshaal Al-Ahmad is balancing these positions to preserve unity within the ruling fam...
Emir Tamim and President Donald Trump held a phone call on 4/8/2026, focusing primarily on reviewing the U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) of 17/6/2026 and preventing another breakdown in th...
Saudi Minister of Defense Prince Khaled Bin Salman (KBS) met on 29/7/2026 with U.S. President Donald Trump and U.S. Vice President JD Vance in Washington, and delivered a message from Crown Prince Moh...
The recovery in UAE–Iran trade is unfolding alongside parallel political and security channels through which Tehran has made security and maritime commitments.Abu Dhabi intends to preserve these chann...
Qatar and Turkey are joining efforts to bring the U.S.-Iran conflict back to ceasefire status and support Oman’s efforts to settle the situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Unlock the following note for ...
The recent Iranian strikes on Oman (12/7/2026), particularly in the Musandam and Al Wusta Governorates, have intensified internal debates in Muscat regarding Oman's stance toward Tehran and its strate...
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi led a diplomatic delegation to Baghdad on 28/06/2026, holding high-level talks with Iraqi Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein and other senior Iraqi officials.During ...
Following the signing of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) between the U.S. and Iran, several GCC states expressed to the U.S. administration their lack of trust in Iran's commitment to cease atta...
UAE National Security Advisor Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed is reasserting a central role in managing the UAE's Iran policy by expanding security, intelligence, and political engagement.The following note ...
The U.S.-Israeli war on Iran and the subsequent Iranian attacks on the GCC states have had negative effects on the relationships between Tehran and these states, especially Saudi Arabia. However, Tehr...
The Qatari mediation between the U.S. and Iran directly contributed to the signing of the memorandum of understanding (MoU) on 17/06/2026 between the two countries and to bringing them together in Swi...
The U.S. and Iran signed a 14-point Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on 17/06/2026 to halt their military conflict and establish a framework for peace.The Strait of Hormuz is an important aspect in t...
U.S. President Trump and Iranian President Pezeshkian signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on 17/6/2026 to halt military hostilities on all fronts, and establish a 60-day framework for a compreh...
The U.S. and Iran have reached a peace deal, following weeks of negotiations mediated by Pakistan and Qatar, aimed at ending military operations and restoring freedom of navigation through the Strait ...
The U.S.-Israel war on Iran served as a comprehensive test of the Emirati state's ability to manage an unprecedented phase of instability in the Gulf region. Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Khaled Bin ...
Saudi Arabia has been leading a private peace track with Iran, largely focused on a non-aggression agreement based on the 1975 Helsinki Accords framework.Unlock the following in-depth report to explor...
Syria is placing transport, logistics, and connectivity projects at the heart of its reconstruction plans as Damascus seeks to capitalize on its geographic position.Unlock the following note to explor...
Qatar had previously decided to remain out of a direct mediation role between Iran and the U.S. favoring the support of Pakistani diplomatic efforts, until late April 2026.Unlock the following note to...
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman (MBS) seeks to control the Gulf’s strategic security course, aiming to reduce future risks to the region’s economy and emerge as the most influential figure amon...
Saudi Arabia has maintained a cautious stance regarding the swift military escalation between Israel and Iran, particularly with the Houthis intervening in the renewed showdown, and declaring on 8/6/2...
The Houthis in Yemen declared a complete ban on Israeli maritime navigation in the Red Sea, therefore considering all Israeli movements there to be legitimate military targets.Unlock the full note to ...
Recent Qatar-Iran contacts signal active crisis-management channels as regional tensions rise, US-Iran talks advance, and Strait of Hormuz risks intensify.Doha is engaging Tehran as both mediator and ...
Following U.S. President Donald Trump’s visit to China, some of his advisors voiced concerns that GCC leaders have begun to think less of President Trump and more of Chinese President Xi Jinping.The f...
The U.S.-Israeli war on Iran and the subsequent closure of the Strait of Hormuz have led to a significant improvement in the relationship between Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman (MBS) and Qatar...
Ali al-Zaidi is now set to play a critical role in shaping Iraq’s next political phase, after the Coordination Framework (CF) nominated him on 27/04/2026 and parliament approved his government program...
U.S. President Donald Trump is said to have informed several Arab leaders that he wants their countries to move toward normalization of ties with Israel if an agreement is reached to end the Iran War....
The newly-formed Iraqi government, led by Prime Minister Ali Al-Zaidi, received messages from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and the U.S. regarding the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)-backed militias...
Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf led the Iranian delegation to the Pakistani capital, Islamabad to hold talks with the U.S. in April 2026. Afterward, he was appointed Iran’s Special Envoy f...
Kuwait is currently going through a highly sensitive and critical political, security, economic, and social phase amid the ongoing regional tensions and the Iranian threatsThis has raised serious conc...
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) warned on 9/5/2026 that any attack on Iranian commercial ships or oil tankers would result in a major retaliatory strike against U.S. targets in the Middle...
U.S. President Donald Trump visited China (13-14-15/5/2026), during which he met with his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping. During their meetings, Trump and Xi discussed Iran and the situation in the S...
Egypt has reportedly deployed a Mistral-class vessel to Oman amid ongoing regional escalation and heightened Gulf security coordination.The following note sheds light on: - The coordination behin...
As U.S. President Donald Trump declared victory several times on Iran, the Emirati leadership is concerned that history would repeat itself as it did in Iraq and Afghanistan: The U.S. declared victory...
Oman is following a different calculated path from the rest of the GCC countries in the context of the American-Israeli war on Iran and the subsequent closure of the Strait of Hormuz.This trajectory w...
Saudi Arabia is holding quiet discussions with Iran amid growing concern over the vulnerability of Gulf energy infrastructure, export terminals, and shipping lanes.Unlock the following note to explore...
Saudi Arabia’s defense posture for 2026 was initially structured around long-term capability expansion across several sectors. However, the U.S.-Iran conflict has forced a real-time reprioritization w...
Iran launched the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA) on 05/05/2026, a new government body to regulate transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran also established a framework of updated rules gover...
Iran is said to have shot down more than 20 U.S. MQ-9 unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) over its territories, during the conflict with the U.S. and Israel.Prior to this, the Kuwaiti Ministry of Defense ...
Oman hosted discussions with Iranian officials on political and legal issues on 12/05/2026, related to the Strait of Hormuz, as well as matters connected to the U.S.-Iran negotiations and the ongoing ...
U.S. President Donald Trump intends to keep the blockade of Iranian ports in place while creating narrow channels that let Tehran move toward talks without calling it a retreat.Unlock the full note to...
Iranian Minister of Foreign Affairs Abbas Araghchi met his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi in Beijing on 6/5/2026.The visit came a week before U.S. President Donald Trump is due to meet Chinese President ...
Saudi Arabia is affected by the repercussions of the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz.Unlock the full note to get an insight on Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman’s options to address a p...
Iran is said to have shot down more than 20 U.S. MQ-9 unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) over its territories, during the conflict with the U.S. and Israel.Beforehand, Saudi Arabia and General Atomics Ae...
Iranian Minister of Foreign Affairs Abbas Araghchi arrived in Oman on 25/04/2026 and met with Sultan Haitham and Minister of Foreign Affairs Sayyid Badr Al-Busaidi.Unlock the following note to explore...
In late April 2026, Saudi Arabia hosted an emergency GCC consultative summit in Jeddah to address regional security fallout from the U.S.–Israel–Iran war, but the UAE’s representation, limited to the ...
The GCC Consultative Summit was held in Jeddah on 28/04/2026, with Oman notably absent.This marked a striking gap in GCC representation at a moment shaped by regional security concerns.Unlock the foll...
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman (MBS) chaired the exceptional GCC consultative summit on 28/4/2026 in Jeddah.Unlock the full note to get an insight into MBS’ assessment of the summit’s outcome,...
Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar have voiced grievances to the U.S. Trump administration for not being consulted before a significant U.S. move amid the Iran War, while gaining the impression that the...
The U.S. and Iran were supposed to participate in the second round of talks this week in the Pakistani capital, Islamabad. However, the talks faltered a few hours before it was scheduled to be held.Un...
Egypt is reportedly activating a narrower second-stage mediation channel to address the remaining gaps between the U.S. and Iran on ceasefire enforcement and maritime deconfliction.Unlock the followin...
The collapse of U.S.–Iran talks and the announcement of a naval blockade on Iranian exports have raised the risk of broader escalation across Gulf energy systems.Unlock the following note to explore S...
As Pakistan intensifies its mediation push between Washington and Tehran, Oman remains deeply engaged in its mediation efforts, with its role spanning diplomatic, security, economic, and defense chann...
Egypt is reportedly entering the ceasefire phase with early access to its terms through Pakistani channels, enabling rapid internal alignment and coordination. Cairo expects the arrangement to hold in...
Saudi Arabia is evaluating an anticipated post-conflict status of Iran following its war with the U.S. and Israel.Unlock the full note, to explore the Kingdom’s assessment in this regard, favored solu...
The UAE leadership has reportedly adopted a cautious stance, preserving cooperation with the U.S. while avoiding full operational alignment on a potential ground campaign against Iran.Unlock the follo...
As the joint U.S.-Israeli war against Iran continues, Tehran appointed Mohammad Baqer Zolqadr as Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council (SNSC), to succeed Ali Larijani, who was killed by a...
The Omani majority sees the joint U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, launched on 28/2/2026, as an unjust campaign led by U.S. President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to dominate th...
As the U.S.-Iran war intensifies, Pakistan, Turkey, Egypt, Qatar and Oman continue efforts to de-escalate the situation.U.S. President Donald Trump referred to talks underway and to major points of ag...
Since the launch of U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran and the subsequent Iranian attacks on the Arab Gulf States, Egypt has activated a backchannel with Tehran to contain escalation an...
Iran’s 88-member Assembly of Experts elected Mojtaba Khamenei as the Islamic Republic’s Supreme Leader on 8/3/2026. Mojtaba succeeds his late father, Ali, who was killed by a joint U.S.-Israeli strike...
The Saudi-Iranian relations are put under review following Iran’s attacks on Saudi Arabia’s territories targeting U.S. interests. The Kingdom’s strategic facilities have also been attacked.Unlock the ...
Amid the ongoing Iranian military operations targeting military and civilian facilities in the UAE, Emirati authorities are evaluating the thresholds that could prompt a shift from a defensive contain...
Like other GCC states, Kuwait has been directly drawn into defending its sovereignty as the military confrontation between Iran and the US–Israel alliance enters its fifth day in the Arabian Gulf.Unlo...
The UAE leadership distinguishes between three levels of assessment: political signaling, security risk management, and protection of economic interests.Unlock the following note for further intellige...
UAE President Mohammed bin Zayed (MBZ) held telephone consultations on 28 February 2026 with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) and Qatar’s Emir Tamim, emphasizing the priority of preventing...
Iran targeted U.S. assets across GCC states, including Qatar, in retaliation for a major joint U.S.–Israeli attack on Iranian soil, on 28/02/2026.Unlock the full note for Insights on Qatar’s reaction ...
Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi held a series of telephone consultations on 28 February 2026 with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman (MBS), UAE President Mohammad Bin Zayed (MBZ), Qatar’s ...
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman (MBS) held telephone conversations on 28/2/2026 with Kuwait’s Emir Meshaal Al-Ahmad, Qatar’s Emir Tamim, and UAE President Mohammad Bin Zayed (MBZ).Additionally,...
The U.S. and Israel launched a joint attack against Iran on 28/2/2026. In retaliation, Iran launched an unprecedented wave of strikes toward Israel and U.S. targets across the Middle East.This has put...
Saudi Arabia has intensified its efforts to de-escalate tensions in the Gulf region, stemming from the ongoing faltering relations and tensions between the U.S. and Iran.Unlock the full note to get an...
The UAE’s internal assessment of U.S.–Iran tensions reflects a cautious and closely balanced reading of current tensions, as Abu Dhabi calibrates its posture amid rising regional uncertainty while pri...
Qatari Emir Tamim visited the UAE on 14/2/2026 and met with UAE President Sheikh Mohammad Bin Zayed Al Nahyan (MBZ), amid Saudi-UAE strained relations.Unlock the following note for an overview of the ...
Iran is said to be ready for a possible showdown with the U.S.The note provides an overview of Iran’s military preparations across land, naval, and aerial theaters, as well as expectations of what the...
U.S. President Donald Trump is reportedly not satisfied with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman (MBS)’ position concerning Iran.This came as Saudi Minister of Defense Prince Khaled Bin Salman (KBS...
The UAE is monitoring rising regional risks as tensions between the U.S. and Iran increase.The move reflects Abu Dhabi’s effort to preserve operational continuity and limit market disruption in the ev...
Iran anticipates renewed Israeli strikes and has been preparing militarily and diplomatically, coordinating with Russia and China for international support. However, the Iranian trust in the Russians ...